Exports at constant (2014) prices genmain_eqpol_ebge_macro__exp

Time format:

Years

Unit:

Percentage difference from baseline (comparable)

Description:

The data shows exports forecasts from the EIGE (2017) study on the "Economic Benefits of Gender Equality in the European Union".

Exports of goods and services are defined as the total value of goods leaving the statistical territory of a country (typically its economic territory).

Exports values are at constant 2014 prices, i.e. they are expressed in terms of the price level of the base year 2014.

The figures for each year are the percentage differences between the exports forecasted under each scenario and the exports forecasted under the baseline scenario.

The baseline scenario assumes that no additional improvements in gender equality will be achieved beyond what could be expected based on recent historical trends.

The data is presented according to five pathways. The term ‘pathway’ refers to a certain gender inequality, for which at least a theoretical link to macroeconomic performance has been established in the literature. For each pathway there is a 'slow progress scenario' and 'rapid progress scenario'.

• Pathway 1: Narrowing the education gap - the gender gap in tertiary education. The slow progress scenario assumes a closure of gender gaps in computing by 2-14pp and a closure of the gender gap in engineering by 4-12 pp. Under the rapid progress scenario, progress is 5-14 pp and 9-12 pp respectively.

• Pathway 2: Narrowing the activity gap. The slow progress scenario assumes a 0-13 pp reduction in the activity rate gap by 2030. Under the rapid progress scenario there is a 0-20pp reduction in the activity rate gap by 2030.

• Pathway 3: Narrowing the pay gap. Under the slow progress scenario, there is a 0-5 pp reduction in the gender pay gap by 2030. Under the rapid progress scenario the reduction is 0-14pp.

• Outcome [Pathway] 4: Fertility rates' . In the slow progress scenario there is a 0-5% increase in fertility rate by 2030 and 0-8% increase under the rapid progress scenario.

• Pathway 5 combines all the above measures.

For further methodological details, users are advised to consult the following resources available on EIGE's website:

• How the evidence was produced: briefing paper on the theoretical framework and model
• Economic benefit of gender equality in the EU: report on the empirical implementation of the model

Keywords:

decision making, decision-making, gender mainstreaming

pathway

speed

time

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Scenario by pathway

Select all	Code	Label
	cteg	Narrowing down the education gap
	ctag	Narrowing down the activity gap
	ctwg	Narrowing down the wage gap
	fr	Fertility rates
	amc	All measures combined

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Scenario by speed

Select all	Code	Label
	rp	Rapid progress
	sp	Slow progress

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Time

Select all	Code	Label
	2050	2050
	2030	2030

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geoEuropean Union - 28 countries (1993-2020)

2030

2050

pathway	cteg	cteg	ctag	ctag	ctwg	ctwg	fr	fr	amc	amc
speed time	rp	sp	rp	sp	rp	sp	rp	sp	rp	sp
2030	0.5	0.4	0.5	0.3	0	0	0	0	1	0.7
2050	0.7	0.6	1.2	0.7	0	0	0.3	0.1	2.3	1.6

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