EIGE

Forecasts of employment rates of persons aged 20-64 genmain_eqpol_ebge_lm__emprate

Time format:
Years
Unit:
Percentage (comparable)
Description:

The data shows employment rates of persons aged 20-64 (employed persons aged 20-64 as a share of the total population aged 20-64e) forecasts from the EIGE (2017) study on the "Economic Benefits of Gender Equality in the European Union".

The figures for each year are the employment rates forecasted under each scenario and the employment rates forcasted under the baseline scenario.

The baseline scenario assumes that no additional improvements in gender equality will be achieved beyond what could be expected based on recent historical trends.

The data is presented according to five pathways. The term ‘pathway’ refers to a certain gender inequality, for which at least a theoretical link to macroeconomic performance has been established in the literature. For each pathway there is a 'slow progress scenario' and 'rapid progress scenario'.

  • Pathway 1: Narrowing the education gap - the gender gap in tertiary education. The slow progress scenario assumes a closure of gender gaps in computing by 2-14pp and a closure of the gender gap in engineering by 4-12 pp. Under the rapid progress scenario, progress is 5-14 pp and 9-12 pp respectively.

  • Pathway 2: Narrowing the activity gap. The slow progress scenario assumes a 0-13 pp reduction in the activity rate gap by 2030. Under the rapid progress scenario there is a 0-20pp reduction in the activity rate gap by 2030.

  • Pathway 3: Narrowing the pay gap. Under the slow progress scenario, there is a 0-5 pp reduction in the gender pay gap by 2030. Under the rapid progress scenario the reduction is 0-14pp.

  • Outcome [Pathway] 4: Fertility rates' . In the slow progress scenario there is a 0-5% increase in fertility rate by 2030 and 0-8% increase under the rapid progress scenario.

  • Pathway 5 combines all the above measures.

For further methodological details, users are advised to consult the following resources available on EIGE's website:

2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2041
2042
2043
2044
2045
2046
2047
2048
2049
2050
rp
sp
2030
72.6
71.9
2031
72.9
72.1
2032
73.3
72.4
2033
73.5
72.6
2034
73.7
72.9
2035
74
73.1
2036
74.3
73.4
2037
74.7
73.7
2038
75
74
2039
75.4
74.4
2040
75.9
74.8
2041
76.3
75.1
2042
76.6
75.4
2043
77
75.7
2044
77.3
76
2045
77.7
76.2
2046
77.9
76.3
2047
78.2
76.5
2048
78.5
76.7
2049
78.8
76.8
2050
79.1
77.1

Available flags:

b break in time series c confidential
d definition differs, see metadata e estimated
f forecast i see metadata
m imputed n not significant
p provisional r revised
s Eurostat estimate u low reliability
x dropped due to insufficient sample size y unreliable due to small sample size
z not applicable